Member-only story

Panera-as-a-Service

Kevin LaBuz
4 min readNov 9, 2020

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There’s no such thing as a free lunch, but what about free coffee?

In February, fast casual cafe Panera Bread launched an unlimited coffee subscription. For $8.99 a month, subscribers get a free cup of coffee or tea every two hours. The company notes that:

The monthly coffee subscription cost of $8.99 plus tax works out to about 30¢ per cup per day for the average 30-day month. This total monthly cost is equivalent to the regular price of about four 12oz cups of Panera coffee-but with the monthly subscription, you can choose any size cup you like!

Thirty cups — any size you like! -for the cost of four. Sounds like a steal for the coffee drinker. So what’s in it for Panera?

Source: Panera, My Panera+ Coffee

Unit Economics

On the surface, the subscription isn’t a big moneymaker. Panera likely loses roughly $3.00 on someone who uses the program daily and breaks-even around 20 cups of coffee per month. The more coffee a subscriber drinks, the more money Panera stands to lose.

Here’s a back of the envelope analysis of the program’s economics:

Note: Analysis assumes cost of $0.39 per cup ($0.35 for coffee beans and $0.04 for a paper cup).

An Easier Climb

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Kevin LaBuz
Kevin LaBuz

Written by Kevin LaBuz

Head of IR & Corporate Development at 1stDibs. Previously finance at Etsy, Indeed, and internet equity research at Deutsche Bank. Find me on Twitter @kjlabuz.

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